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The UK has seen its biggest inflation fall in a year, with food prices easing slightly.
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Labour shortage costs remain acute business headache despite biggest inflation fall in a year 

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Most businesses see labour costs as the key pressure despite inflation falling to its lowest level in more than a year. 

Figures released today (Tuesday) by the ONS show that the UK’s rate of inflation dropped to 7.9 per cent in the year to June – down from 8.7 per cent in May. 

It means the rate of inflation has slowed more than expected, with falling fuel prices and food prices rising less quickly contributing to that. 

Inflation peaked at 11.1 per cent last year and has been on a downward trend since then but still remains well above the Government and Bank of England target of 2 per cent. 

The British Chambers of Commerce has said that while the reduction will be welcomed by firms, issues such as labour, utilities and raw materials costs still remain a headache.  

Reacting to the figures, Alex Veitch, Director of Policy at the BCC, said: “Today’s data show that while consumer price and core inflation remain stubbornly high, businesses’ input prices have fallen.  

“While firms’ costs are now much higher than a year ago, the fall in the input rate will give some hope that consumer price inflation will soon start to ease.  

“However, the drivers of price rises have shifted with labour costs now the most significant factor. This may slow down the rate of Consumer Price Index decline – due to the high number of job vacancies.  

“Our latest Quarterly Economic Survey in July, of 5,000 businesses, showed that fewer firms are now expecting their prices to rise, and while inflation remains the top concern, the numbers worried have been falling since the end of 2022.  

“The drivers of inflation are diverse with most (68%) now citing labour costs as a key pressure, 63% citing utilities, and 45% citing raw materials. Labour costs may remain an issue for business for some time; although the figure has been steadily falling, there are still around 1 million job vacancies in the UK.  

“However, for manufacturers, 75% cited raw materials as the main cost pressure, and hospitality firms were far more likely than all other sectors to cite utility costs as a worry.  

“But overall, our data show there has been optimism building in the business community that future prices rises might not be inevitable.  

“Today’s ONS findings will be an important factor for the Bank of England to consider going forward.” 

Nigel Pye

Experienced journalist with a 30-year career in the newspaper and PR industry and a proven record for breaking stories for the national and international press. Nigel is the Editor of Daily Focus and Head of Creative at i-creation. Other work includes scriptwriting, magazine and video production, crisis communications and TV and radio broadcasts.

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